Allan Lichtman Prediction For 2024 Presidential Candidates. Lichtman, an american university professor who has correctly predicted 9 out of 10 of the last presidential elections, has forecasted a win for vice president kamala harris. When five or less are false, the incumbent party candidate is expected.

While campaign events and speeches draw much attention, lichtman argues that the governing of the incumbent party is more predictive of election outcomes. Presidential historian allan lichtman, who has correctly predicted nearly every presidential election since 1984, explains which party he thinks will win the.